The latest report indicates that Rita (once a tropical storm) is now upgraded to a major category 3 hurricane. It’s headed toward the Gulf region just like Katrina did. They say it may it Texas, but Louisiana or even northern Mexico may also get hit.
I wonder whether global warming has something to do with the increased frequency and intensity of recent storms.
3 my yass! - they are talking 4 and threatening a 5 now.
We are about 70 miles inland, just not the buffer zone you want to think it is.
If a 4 comes into Galveston Houston, hurricane strength winds are projected to make it to Dallas.
My wife and I have decided to ride it out best as possible....
Ken
I don't buy the 'global warming is making hurricanes worse' contentions you hear swirling around. There's really not a lot of hard scientific evidence indicating global warming isn't just a natural progression in the global climate cycle.
There's a good article here on Paleotempestology. Quote:
"There are millennial-scale variations in hurricane activity. Our data suggest that there are much longer cycles superimposed on the decadal cycles," says Liu. "We've had a quiet period, an active period, and for the past 1,000 years, we're back to a relatively quiet period."
Then there's William Gray, who is apparently one of the leading authorities on this type of thing in a Discover interview:
"You don’t believe global warming is causing climate change?
G: No. If it is, it is causing such a small part that it is negligible. I’m not disputing that there has been global warming. There was a lot of global warming in the 1930s and ’40s, and then there was a slight global cooling from the middle ’40s to the early ’70s. And there has been warming since the middle ’70s, especially in the last 10 years. But this is natural, due to ocean circulation changes and other factors. It is not human induced.
That must be a controversial position among hurricane researchers.
G: Nearly all of my colleagues who have been around 40 or 50 years are skeptical as hell about this whole global-warming thing. But no one asks us. If you don’t know anything about how the atmosphere functions, you will of course say, “Look, greenhouse gases are going up, the globe is warming, they must be related.” Well, just because there are two associations, changing with the same sign, doesn’t mean that one is causing the other."
The tendency for media and various sundry activist groups to blame global warming for any number of the world's ills has a much stronger base in politics than it does science. Global warming is a scapegoat for agenda groups and an excuse for research budgets across the globe.
(Global warming is a pet peeve of mine in case you can't tell.)
p.s. And good luck Ken. If you get your loot on, wear your iEntry sweatshirt so I can pick you out on TV.
OOOOOOOOOOPS! - It's a Cat 4 already...
I am going...
I'll be reporting in here when I have the opportunity:
http://www.webproworld.com/viewtopic.php?t=52840
Ken
I remember reading an article once about the warming effect. I can't remember where, but the gist of it that our planet doesn't orbit around the sun in the same ellipse. It moves closer to, and further away from, the sun in 700-year cycles.
It would also explain the naming behind Greenland and the Ice Age somewhat, so I tend to believe it.
You can be like WPW's Jim Cantore.
Good Luck.
Just be glad you're not getting 3 back to back to back like I enjoyed last year.
Mike,
I don't buy the global warming garbage either!
China is the main contributor now anyway.
Beyond that, it's a cyclic process that has natural and deeper roots, longer than anyone of us have been alive!!!!
Let's get a clue here.
Back on topic; "Another Katrina?" - IMO, it's looking a lot worse than that right now!
Ken
Hear, hear Mike. I don't buy this global warming malarky either.
Whenever you hear of extreme weather for example last summer it did nothing but rain. Although on one hand the media were saying "thats it thats global warming, all summers will be wet now. Panic attack", but on the other hand they were saying "oh its been the worst on record since 1956.
This year, we've had a hot summer and they are still sounding off with the "thats it thats global warming, all summers will be this hot now. Panic attack" line.
Though obviously thats nothing compared to what Ken is going through now.
Good luck Ken m8. Tho I personally wouldn't hang about.
Later,
Not downplaying it too much but one of the hurricanes that hit here was a Cat 4 but its damage was relatively minor. Just prepare as normal. Also be ready for atleast a week without power.Originally Posted by greeneagle
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